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bush was already on the ropes against bill clinton over a sluggish economy, when casper wineberger, former president ronald reagan's defense secretary, was implicated in the iran contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news that bush, who served as reagan's vice president, did not need. in 2004, a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th, just four days before election day in a razor-thin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11, it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. more recently the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year. though most have centered around foreign policy, others have been about the economy, like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisors say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order for an october surprise to have a real 11th hour impact, it has to feed into a narrative that already exists, whether it's carter's ineffectiveness or
bush was already on the ropes against bill clinton over a sluggish economy, when casper wineberger, former president ronald reagan's defense secretary, was implicated in the iran contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news that bush, who served as reagan's vice president, did not need. in 2004, a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th, just four days before election day in a razor-thin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after...
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is that bill clinton's work? >> reporter: i was just going to say, is it bill clinton's? you could credit him. i think he deserves some credit in the argument he laid out at the convention. but clearly you've moved something. this isn't just democrats deciding, hey, i'm with obama and now i feel better about the country. you're seeing moves with independent voters on that question. people that are going to end up voting for romney, who believe the economy is in recovery. >> the reason for the -- the reason -- >> reporter: the whole thing is coming together for obama. he's in re-elect territory. >> guys, the numbers don't back that up. our second quarter growth number was 1.3, wasn't it? i mean, how do you get -- why are they saying it's better? >> but chris, the people who study this kind of thing and try to correlate economic numbers with election results will tell you that the numbers were good enough in the second and third quarter in terms of growth of real personal income in the country to correlate to a victory for incumbent president. >> wow. >> no, the numbers hav
is that bill clinton's work? >> reporter: i was just going to say, is it bill clinton's? you could credit him. i think he deserves some credit in the argument he laid out at the convention. but clearly you've moved something. this isn't just democrats deciding, hey, i'm with obama and now i feel better about the country. you're seeing moves with independent voters on that question. people that are going to end up voting for romney, who believe the economy is in recovery. >> the...
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Sep 29, 2012
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. >> cenk: former democratic president t bill clinton is incredibly popular. even mitt romney said this. >> we have learned in this election season by the way, it is that a few words from bill clinton can do a man a lot of good. [ laughter ] >> cenk: now my guy, george w. bush, he did a terrible job. you don't like him very much. you want to see a lukewarm endorsement. here is george bush. >> i crawled out of the swamp. eight years was awesome, and i was famous and powerful and i have no desire for fame and power anymore. i'm a supporter of mitt romney. i hope he does well. >> cenk: god every time i laugh when i see that guy. who says being president was awesome, i had power and fame. you know what happens even though they have been hiding from bush right now george w. bush more popular than mitt romney. when you are losing to w, you are in big trouble, mitt! that's why you find yourself in the middle of the ring >> gavin: welcome to nine show. millions of peep tao*epb agers have treasured the come can go of age story the perks of being a wall flower now the a
. >> cenk: former democratic president t bill clinton is incredibly popular. even mitt romney said this. >> we have learned in this election season by the way, it is that a few words from bill clinton can do a man a lot of good. [ laughter ] >> cenk: now my guy, george w. bush, he did a terrible job. you don't like him very much. you want to see a lukewarm endorsement. here is george bush. >> i crawled out of the swamp. eight years was awesome, and i was famous and...
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Oct 2, 2012
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. >> bill clinton, who is very good at making things simple, as we know, he's done it again this summer, he said this was the most blatant thing, he talked about the florida example, the most blatant k356r78 of voter suppression where he said they were shutting down sunday before voting because that's when black people go to church and go on the buses because they don't have cars. you're the expert. what does this mean to you historically that this has been stopped at least in pennsylvania. >> this is big. all voters in pennsylvania can go vote. if you have an i.d., you can vote. if you don't go one, you can vote. that's critical right now because as you heard tur xi say, they were trying to steal the race in the state and given what this state is, steal it for the entire country. but what this also is sort of in line with is that we're starting to turn the tied. you know, we've won in wisconsin. we've won in texas. we've got a republican governor in the midwest, snyder, to actually veto one of these bills. we got governor mcdonald in virginia also from the gop to say, don't even bring
. >> bill clinton, who is very good at making things simple, as we know, he's done it again this summer, he said this was the most blatant thing, he talked about the florida example, the most blatant k356r78 of voter suppression where he said they were shutting down sunday before voting because that's when black people go to church and go on the buses because they don't have cars. you're the expert. what does this mean to you historically that this has been stopped at least in...
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Oct 1, 2012
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retched nixon lied because of coverups and bill clinton i am protested because of lies and coverups, where is the accountability in this administration, own up to the fact that we are at war with an evil force never be molified or satisfied until we're all dead. this is not about political offices or expanded geopolitical orders, this is about the survival of our civilization, if this administration can't or won't lead in the battle then step aside and let someone do it who won't lie to us and endanger our children. [applause] well, on friday, the office of the director of national intelligence issued a statement, attempting to put the matter to rest, going to washington is the chief intelligence correspondent catherine herridge. why this document dump on a friday afternoon? >> well, you know, governor, as well as everyone else when you've got bad news, the place you put it is late on friday, what we had with the statement from director of national intelligence, a person who is a top intelligence officer in the united states government and i have the statement right here. and what i
retched nixon lied because of coverups and bill clinton i am protested because of lies and coverups, where is the accountability in this administration, own up to the fact that we are at war with an evil force never be molified or satisfied until we're all dead. this is not about political offices or expanded geopolitical orders, this is about the survival of our civilization, if this administration can't or won't lead in the battle then step aside and let someone do it who won't lie to us and...
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Sep 28, 2012
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i never told anybody to lie, not a single time, never. >> bill: because of the scandal, bill clinton became a second u.s. president to be impeached. who was the first? nixon, polk, martin van burren. >> that is correct. andrew johnson. he escaped by how many votes? >> one. >> a very good. >> bill: one vote he would have been toast. alien extradition acts is most controversial u.s. laws of their time. >> in 1798 french warships seized american vessels trading with england. frightened by the possibility of invasion they passed the alien and sedition act the power to deport any alien and made citizens who criticized the government liable to arrest. >> bill: that sounds like cuba or china. which president signed the alien acts into laws. madison, jackson, jefferson. adams. >> bill: very good, adams. he should have. that was a huge mistake on his part. he a good president but that besmirched his record. thank you very much. it's a little bit elevated from cool, cool to we smirched. word of the day -- besmirched. >> and controversy erupted when it was discovered that u.s. had traded weapon
i never told anybody to lie, not a single time, never. >> bill: because of the scandal, bill clinton became a second u.s. president to be impeached. who was the first? nixon, polk, martin van burren. >> that is correct. andrew johnson. he escaped by how many votes? >> one. >> a very good. >> bill: one vote he would have been toast. alien extradition acts is most controversial u.s. laws of their time. >> in 1798 french warships seized american vessels trading...
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Sep 26, 2012
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clinton. their sharpest and most substantive change was on iran. united nations, the president appeared to draw a real line in the sand on anff t bu a nuclear weapon. >> so let me be clear. america wants to resolve this issue through diplomacy, and we believe this is sll time and space to do so. but that time is not limited. make no mistake. a nuclear iran is a challenge that can be containe ut the president's strong words weren't enough to satisfied romney. >> we can look at the record of the last four years. is iran closer to a nuclear weapon or not? we know the answer. it's closer to a nuclear weapon. >> but one tng oband ro cee , just how much they love president bill clinton now. they tried to one-up each other, in fact, in praising the former president and his, of course, the annual global initiative conference. >> if there's one thi we've learned in this ectio seas, he, itew words from bill clinton can do a lot of good. all i've got to do now is to wait for a couple of days for the boun
clinton. their sharpest and most substantive change was on iran. united nations, the president appeared to draw a real line in the sand on anff t bu a nuclear weapon. >> so let me be clear. america wants to resolve this issue through diplomacy, and we believe this is sll time and space to do so. but that time is not limited. make no mistake. a nuclear iran is a challenge that can be containe ut the president's strong words weren't enough to satisfied romney. >> we can look at the...
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Oct 2, 2012
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the idea that somehow it doesn't belong to the democrats and bill clinton went to russia when he was a kid, he's some sort of mole, some sort of mata hari. and even kennedy -- why do they think illegitimately, why does the white house belong in the hands of the toris, if you will, the conservatives? >> because i think it's symbolic. they feel the symbol of the country has got to represent the symbol of the values, pushing what they see is the american value system, which is capitalism unrestrained, this idea of freedom that they have actually glommed on to things, like tax cuts for the rich, corporations not being regulated. they believe that the president is the salesman to the world of what they see as the american story, which is that we are about, you know, free enterprise, and we are about what they see as freedom and they think democrats want to do this european socialist mushy, mommy state. >> i can say they like war. >> when they get in the white house, they tend to start a war. >> we can argue -- >> i think it's about power on a certain level. i mean, look, nixon, reagan, ge
the idea that somehow it doesn't belong to the democrats and bill clinton went to russia when he was a kid, he's some sort of mole, some sort of mata hari. and even kennedy -- why do they think illegitimately, why does the white house belong in the hands of the toris, if you will, the conservatives? >> because i think it's symbolic. they feel the symbol of the country has got to represent the symbol of the values, pushing what they see is the american value system, which is capitalism...
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Oct 1, 2012
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this is said to have helped bill clinton. bill clinton. in the 1980 republican primary george bush had moment against ronald reagan, until in the debate in new hampshire, there was a moment where reagan looked strong. >> i am paying for this microphone. >> that moment helped change the campaign. >> some o some of them you can . >> read my lips. no new taxes. >> the difference between a hockey mom and a pit bull, lipstick. >> other ones, you got to depend on your candidate seizing a moment you didn't expect to happen. >> there you go again. >> most moments so far this election have been poorly phrased comments. >> if you've got a business, you didn't build that. somebody else made that happen. >> i like being able to fire people that provide services to me. >> they'll put y'all back in chains. >> the media call those gaffes, but often the media don't know. when ed musky lost the '072 primary because he looked like he teared up defending his wife, everyone said candidates can't career, because that's week, but then in 2008 hillary clinton cr
this is said to have helped bill clinton. bill clinton. in the 1980 republican primary george bush had moment against ronald reagan, until in the debate in new hampshire, there was a moment where reagan looked strong. >> i am paying for this microphone. >> that moment helped change the campaign. >> some o some of them you can . >> read my lips. no new taxes. >> the difference between a hockey mom and a pit bull, lipstick. >> other ones, you got to depend on...
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Oct 3, 2012
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bush or ronald reagan or bill clinton? do they approached these debates differently or do the american people view it differently when you have a sitting president? >> i think so, yes. one of the things that happens is the incumbent is at somewhat of a disadvantage being placed on an equal footing as the challenger, as we talked about before. incumbents have typically had a very rough time in the first debate. i am thinking back to jimmy carter in 1980. ronald reagan in 1984. george h. w. bush in '92. all of these guys who had been in the presidency, they got on that debate stage and came face- to-face with the challenger. it is rattling. they all had a very difficult time getting through the first debate. in each case, they had to up their game as the series went forward. >> you say, "the morning after >> you say, "the morning after the debate, will the media the
bush or ronald reagan or bill clinton? do they approached these debates differently or do the american people view it differently when you have a sitting president? >> i think so, yes. one of the things that happens is the incumbent is at somewhat of a disadvantage being placed on an equal footing as the challenger, as we talked about before. incumbents have typically had a very rough time in the first debate. i am thinking back to jimmy carter in 1980. ronald reagan in 1984. george h. w....
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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this is said to have helped bill clinton. bill clinton. in the 1980 republican primary george bush had moment against ronald reagan, until in the debate in new hampshire, there was a moment where reagan looked strong. >> i am paying for this microphone. >> that moment helped change the campaign. >> some o some of them you can . >> read my lips. no new taxes. >> the difference between a hockey mom and a pit bull, lipstick. >> other ones, you got to depend on your candidate seizing a moment you didn't expect to happen. >> there you go again. >> most moments so far this election have been poorly phrased comments. >> if you've got a business, you didn't build that. somebody else made that happen. >> i like being able to fire people that provide services to me. >> they'll put y'all back in chains. >> the media call those gaffes, but often the media don't know. when ed musky lost the '072 primary because he looked like he teared up defending his wife, everyone said candidates can't career, because that's week, but then in 2008 hillary clinton cr
this is said to have helped bill clinton. bill clinton. in the 1980 republican primary george bush had moment against ronald reagan, until in the debate in new hampshire, there was a moment where reagan looked strong. >> i am paying for this microphone. >> that moment helped change the campaign. >> some o some of them you can . >> read my lips. no new taxes. >> the difference between a hockey mom and a pit bull, lipstick. >> other ones, you got to depend on...
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♪ >>> mitt romney tried to get a clinton bounce today by attending bill clinton's global inittive, but mitt romney was followed at that event by president barack obama. we'll showou bl ton d esident obama again on the stage next. and tweet your guesses about who could get rupert murdoch to pay for an attack on mitt romney and voter suppression laws. the answer will be in tonight's rewrite. >>> whatever you think about his gehe most rewards of any small business credit card! pizza!!!!! [ garth ] olaf's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! helium delivery. put it on my spark card! [ pop! ] [ garth ] why settle for less? greabusinesses deserve the most rewards! awesome!!! [ male announcer ] the spark business card from capital one. choose unlimited rewards with 2% cash back or double miles on every purchase, every day! what's in your wallet? [ laughing ] [ laughing ] laughing ] [ laughing ] ♪ >>> whatever you think about his tax return, he's given substantial money to crity. he might want to talk about that today. >> that was bill clinton slyly reminding the c
♪ >>> mitt romney tried to get a clinton bounce today by attending bill clinton's global inittive, but mitt romney was followed at that event by president barack obama. we'll showou bl ton d esident obama again on the stage next. and tweet your guesses about who could get rupert murdoch to pay for an attack on mitt romney and voter suppression laws. the answer will be in tonight's rewrite. >>> whatever you think about his gehe most rewards of any small business credit card!...
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bush and bill clinton. we have a third-party candidates now. they are not as perhaps promising in some ways as ross perot or other third-party candidates. the question here from one of our twitter observers -- what have we lost by excluding third- party candidates from the debates? >> we have lost third-party candidates. [laughter] >> and obviously some third party supporters. and i mean this in an objective way, but excluding those who do not, by the numbers, have the chance to hold office -- what do we lose? >> i think we lose risk, people willing to take a risk, given the point that they are already behind, or not likely a person to be chosen. when you think about the primary season's -- often there much more productive because you have people like a ron paul. who are willing to bring up questions, make statements that the primary candidates will not make, because there's too much risk for them. one of the things that the independent or the third party candidates do is move the discourse and a way that is not allowable when you have the two
bush and bill clinton. we have a third-party candidates now. they are not as perhaps promising in some ways as ross perot or other third-party candidates. the question here from one of our twitter observers -- what have we lost by excluding third- party candidates from the debates? >> we have lost third-party candidates. [laughter] >> and obviously some third party supporters. and i mean this in an objective way, but excluding those who do not, by the numbers, have the chance to...
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clinton's global initiative, bill clinton did more anti-romney media in one day than he has done since the convention. here is he on cbs this morning. >> we know what governor romney says, which is that his proposal for dealing with the debt is first to make it bigger by adopting another round of tax cuts. but he wants to defer until after the election saying what the specifics are. i think that ought to be a little bit of a red flag. >> e.j., if you're the obama campaign you just want t clinton initiative to go on and on. >> he's continuing his role as a math teacher, which he is pretty good at. you know what struck me though? when clinton was speaking earlier. the earned income tax credit which has an ugly name, was one of the really good deeds of the clinton administration. he really boosted that up. and if you remember classic clinton rhetoric, it was always about people who work hard and play by the rules, in other words, the 47% in many cases. and so again, i think that clinton's gift for obama is he has a way of explaining what for most people are complicated and distant issues
clinton's global initiative, bill clinton did more anti-romney media in one day than he has done since the convention. here is he on cbs this morning. >> we know what governor romney says, which is that his proposal for dealing with the debt is first to make it bigger by adopting another round of tax cuts. but he wants to defer until after the election saying what the specifics are. i think that ought to be a little bit of a red flag. >> e.j., if you're the obama campaign you just...
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that's how bill clinton does it. >>> a number of new national polls out right now. a national journal poll found the race tied up. a national public radio has obama up by seven. these can't both be right. the latest nbc/wall street journal poll, always right, splits the voters. the new poll from nbc/wall street journal/telemundo, look at this, 50% spread, howard. >> this is a number -- >> this is the lead. >> this is a number that drives karl rove and -- >> the architect. >> the architect and most other republicans of the bush era completely crazy. >> because it was -- >> completely crazy because it's self-made. it's what mitt romney did to himself in the primaries, what the republicans did to themselves in the primary. they know unless they get 35% minimum or so of the hispanic vote, they can't win the election. they're going to hope and pray that that 70% doesn't turn out because hispanic turnout is traditionally lower than the numbers indicate. if that percentage holds up, it makes it very, very difficult. in states like this one, in states like colorado, a swing
that's how bill clinton does it. >>> a number of new national polls out right now. a national journal poll found the race tied up. a national public radio has obama up by seven. these can't both be right. the latest nbc/wall street journal poll, always right, splits the voters. the new poll from nbc/wall street journal/telemundo, look at this, 50% spread, howard. >> this is a number -- >> this is the lead. >> this is a number that drives karl rove and -- >> the...
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they all remembered bill clinton's peach. i asked them what moment do you remember most from the republican debate. other than chris christie, they remember clint eastwood talking to the chair. those kids are paying attention. i think the republicans have lost so many opportunities to be able to make their case. i don't know if you're feeling any of that there in new jersey. >> i don't think there's a case to be made. i mean, they can't give any information about their budget. i'm a senior citizen. to be honest with you i'm deathly afraid of them taking over. >> do you trust the paul ryan medicare plan? he said it's only going to affect people who are under the age of 55. >> no, i don't. i don't. besides that, i have a 40-year-old daughter. she's going to be 55 before too long. i don't want to see her suffer. >> here's the question. many people in america are in the fix the pensions are going away they've lost housing values. their 401k's suffered. they want to take away social security and medicare. everything else people ha
they all remembered bill clinton's peach. i asked them what moment do you remember most from the republican debate. other than chris christie, they remember clint eastwood talking to the chair. those kids are paying attention. i think the republicans have lost so many opportunities to be able to make their case. i don't know if you're feeling any of that there in new jersey. >> i don't think there's a case to be made. i mean, they can't give any information about their budget. i'm a...
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in 1996 when bill clinton was running for reelection, at this point in the campaign he was not at 44%. he was at 504%. that is that 10 percent difference president obama has so destroyed the confidence of his own party in an independence that he is lagging ten points behind where bill clinton was. he is in terrible political say and for reasons i will review here shortly he is going to get worse before it gets better. i personally believe that 44 percent is a ceiling, not a floor. that is, inflated. my friend, great assistant to richard nixon, ronald reagan speech writer and adviser has long argued that there is no such thing as a bradley effect. the bradley effect is named for mayor tom bradley of los angeles when he ran against george deukmejian did not do as well in the final balloting is he had been doing in the polling. for years pundits have ascribe that to the brad the affected people are free to say they're not going to vote for african-american because they don't want to be up to the prejudice he they're talking anonymously to pollsters. and he has all the data, and i believe
in 1996 when bill clinton was running for reelection, at this point in the campaign he was not at 44%. he was at 504%. that is that 10 percent difference president obama has so destroyed the confidence of his own party in an independence that he is lagging ten points behind where bill clinton was. he is in terrible political say and for reasons i will review here shortly he is going to get worse before it gets better. i personally believe that 44 percent is a ceiling, not a floor. that is,...
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bush or ronald reagan or bill clinton? do they approached these debates differently or do the american people view it differently when you have a sitting president? >> i think so, yes. one of the things that happens is the incumbent is at somewhat of a disadvantage being placed on an equal footing as the challenger, as we talked about before. incumbents have typically had a very rough time in the first debate. i am thinking back to jimmy carter in 1980. ronald reagan in 1984. george h. w. bush in '92. all of these guys who had been in the presidency, they got on that debate stage and came face-to-face with the challenger. it is rattling. they all had a very difficult time getting through the first debate. in each case, they had to up their game as the series went forward. >> you say, "the morning after the debate, will the media the talking about knockout punches? who knows? a little boldness might make good politics." what do you mean? >> i mean this idea of not approaching this debate as an awful obstacle you have to get
bush or ronald reagan or bill clinton? do they approached these debates differently or do the american people view it differently when you have a sitting president? >> i think so, yes. one of the things that happens is the incumbent is at somewhat of a disadvantage being placed on an equal footing as the challenger, as we talked about before. incumbents have typically had a very rough time in the first debate. i am thinking back to jimmy carter in 1980. ronald reagan in 1984. george h. w....
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. >>> tonight, blunt words from bill clinton. the 42nd president of the united states on the nuclear threat from iran. you trust ahmadinejad? >> not on this, i don't. >> why should israel be allowed to have nukes? >> no one thinks that israel is about to drop a bomb on tehran. >> this master campaigner, what he would say to mitt romney. >> if he's going to double down on that 47% remark, that will cause difficulties because we now know that the overwhelming number of those people work and have children. >> and his take on president obama and the economy. how has he managed to avoid public retribution for not fixing the economy better than he has done? >> because this is not a normal time. >> plus his extraordinary work with the clinton global initiative. >> we don't have to produce miracles. all we have to produce is progress. we just keep pushing these rocks up the hill. >> is the world ready for a clinton back in the office? >> i can run for president of ireland because of my irish heritage. >> this is "piers morgan tonight." g
. >>> tonight, blunt words from bill clinton. the 42nd president of the united states on the nuclear threat from iran. you trust ahmadinejad? >> not on this, i don't. >> why should israel be allowed to have nukes? >> no one thinks that israel is about to drop a bomb on tehran. >> this master campaigner, what he would say to mitt romney. >> if he's going to double down on that 47% remark, that will cause difficulties because we now know that the...
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bill clinton a master of the form. what is the biggest lesson the president has learned from bill clinton's performance at the dnc? >> i think ultimately what president clinton did was crystallize the economic argument and economic choice before us, because we built the economy from the middle class out during the 1990s. you saw where that led us to a government surplus in 23 million jobs created. the republicans in the next decade, did all the same sorts of things that mitt romney would like to do today, passed a tax cut for the wealthiest that led to the lowest pace of job creation since world war ii, stripped back oversight from wall street a financial house of cards that collapsed in 2008. so president clinton made clear this isn't some sort of economic theory, we've tried these policies before and you saw where we ended up. let's pursue those that work. >> ben in terms of the strategy, we were talking about the fact that mitt romney has been trotting out i won't call it stakes, maybe dried pieces of chicken in ter
bill clinton a master of the form. what is the biggest lesson the president has learned from bill clinton's performance at the dnc? >> i think ultimately what president clinton did was crystallize the economic argument and economic choice before us, because we built the economy from the middle class out during the 1990s. you saw where that led us to a government surplus in 23 million jobs created. the republicans in the next decade, did all the same sorts of things that mitt romney would...